Guide · Android
The future, on your home screen.
A watchlist app and two home-screen widgets — a TradingView-style board and a single-market chart — that keep Manifold probabilities in the corner of your eye, refreshed on a battery-friendly schedule.
Step 1 · Install
Three taps to running
- Download the APK from the latest release on your phone.
- Open it and allow the install — Android asks once to permit installs from your browser. Updates install over the top; your watchlist survives.
- Open Mantic View and add your first market. Then long-press your home screen → Widgets → find the two ManticView widgets.
Step 2 · The watchlist app
Where you curate the future
- Add or search. Paste a market slug or URL and tap Add, or type words ("world cup") and Search — results add with one tap. Multiple-choice markets track their top answer first; switch or add more answers anytime.
- Last updated & Refresh all — the time of the newest data, and a button to re-fetch everything in parallel.
- Theme — System, Light, or Dark, applied to the app and both widgets.
- Group headers carry the controls: ↑ ↓ reorder groups, ✎ renames (widgets follow along), and Hide removes a group from the watchlist widget while it keeps tracking in the app.
- Each market row: the Δ chip picks its comparison period (1H · 6H · 1D · 1W · 1M · ALL); the ⋮ menu moves it, switches or adds answers, and changes its group; ✕ removes exactly that entry.
Market slug, URL, or search words 1
AddSearch
Elections 4↑ ↓ ✎ Hide
Will turnout exceed 60%? 64%
Δ 1D ▾ ⋮ 5✕
Sports↑ ↓ ✎ Hide
🇫🇷 France · World Cup 76%
Δ 1W ▾ ⋮✕
Step 3 · The watchlist widget (4×2)
Your board, always on
- Tap the header to open the app; tap any market to open it on manifold.markets.
- Last updated time, always visible.
- ↻ refreshes on demand — it becomes a spinner while fetching.
- Groups render as sections, in the order you set in the app; hidden groups don't appear here.
- The list scrolls when your watchlist outgrows the widget.
- The trend line shows the change over that market's own comparison period — "▲ 3 pts · 1d" means up three points in a day.
- Resolved markets show their outcome in color for 48 hours, then quietly retire to the app's Resolved section.
Step 4 · The market widget (2×2)
One market, full chart
- Placing it asks two questions: which watchlist (group) to follow — or all markets — and which market to start on.
- The big number is the live probability; the delta beside it uses the market's comparison period from the app.
- The chart is real history — seeded from up to 1,000 actual bets the moment you add a market, so it's never empty.
- ‹ › flip through your watchlist, wrapping at the ends; the counter shows where you are. Tap the middle to open the market.
1 configured when you place it · 3 chart seeded from bet history
Step 5 · Under the hood
How the data flows
Manifold public API ──▶ seed: last 1,000 bets ──▶ on-device history (288 pts)
▲ │
└── background refresh every 30 min ◀──────────┴──▶ widgets re-render
- Battery-friendly by design: background refresh runs every 30 minutes, only when online, and stops entirely when you remove your last widget.
- Honest math: period deltas are interpolated at the exact cutoff time, so "1H" compares against one hour ago even between refreshes.
- Private by default: everything lives on your device. No account, no API key, no telemetry — just anonymous reads of Manifold's public API.